Trajectories of eGFR and risk of albuminuria in youth with type 2 diabetes: results from the TODAY cohort study

for the TODAY Study Group

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review


Background: We conducted exploratory analyses to identify distinct trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and their relationship with hyperfiltration, subsequent rapid eGFR decline, and albuminuria in participants with youth-onset type 2 diabetes enrolled in the Treatment Options for type 2 Diabetes in Adolescents and Youth (TODAY) study. Methods: Annual serum creatinine, cystatin C, urine albumin, and creatinine measurements were obtained from 377 participants followed for ≥ 10 years. Albuminuria and eGFR were calculated. Hyperfiltration peak is the greatest eGFR inflection point during follow-up. Latent class modeling was applied to identify distinct eGFR trajectories. Results: At baseline, participants’ mean age was 14 years, type 2 diabetes duration was 6 months, mean HbA1c was 6%, and mean eGFR was 120 ml/min/1.73 m2. Five eGFR trajectories associated with different rates of albuminuria were identified, including a “progressive increasing eGFR” group (10%), three “stable eGFR” groups with varying starting mean eGFR, and an “eGFR steady decline” group (1%). Participants who exhibited the greatest peak eGFR also had the highest levels of elevated albuminuria at year 10. This group membership was characterized by a greater proportion of female and Hispanic participants. Conclusions: Distinct eGFR trajectories that associate with albuminuria risk were identified, with the eGFR trajectory characterized by increasing eGFR over time associating with the highest level of albuminuria. These descriptive data support the current recommendations to estimate GFR annually in young persons with type 2 diabetes and provide insight into eGFR-related factors which may contribute to predictive risk strategies for kidney disease therapies in youth with type 2 diabetes. Trial registration: Identifier: NCT00081328, date registered 2002. Graphical abstract: [Figure not available: see fulltext.].

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)4137-4144
Number of pages8
JournalPediatric Nephrology
Issue number12
StatePublished - Dec 2023


  • Albuminuria
  • Diabetic kidney disease
  • Glomerular filtration rate
  • Hyperfiltration
  • Trajectories
  • Type 2 diabetes
  • Youth

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Nephrology
  • Pediatrics, Perinatology, and Child Health


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