The Natural History of Pancreatic Cystic Lesions in Liver Transplant Recipients: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Objectives The management of incidentally discovered pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) with surveillance or resection often requires shared decision-making. Patients with cirrhosis are more likely to have PCLs discovered due to increased imaging, and those undergoing liver transplantations (LTs) may be at increased risk of carcinogenesis due to immunosuppressive medications. Our study aimed to characterize the outcomes and risk of malignant progression of PCLs in post-LT patients. Methods Multiple databases were searched for studies looking at PCLs in post-LT patients from inception until February 2022. Primary outcomes were the incidence of PCLs in LT recipients and progression to malignancy. Secondary outcomes included development of worrisome features, outcomes of surgical resection for progression, and change in size. Results A total of 12 studies with 17,862 patients with 1411 PCLs were included. The pooled proportion of new PCL development in post-LT patients was 68% (95% confidence interval [CI], 42-86; I2 = 94%) over the follow-up of 3.7 (standard deviation, 1.5) years. The pooled progression of malignancy and worrisome features was 1% (95% CI, 0-2; I2 = 0%) and 4% (95% CI, 1-11; I2 = 89%), respectively. Conclusions Compared with nontransplant patients, incidental PCLs do not carry a higher risk of malignancy.