Attention to Immortal Time Bias in Critical Care Research

Emily A. Vail, Hayley B. Gershengorn, Hannah Wunsch, Allan J. Walkey

Research output: Contribution to journalReview articlepeer-review

Abstract

Observational studies in critical care medicine offer a popular and practical approach to questions of treatment effectiveness. Although observational research is widely understood to be susceptible to design and interpretation challenges, one welldescribed source of bias immortal time bias (ITB) is frequently present yet often overlooked. ITB may be introduced by study design oversights or mishandled during data analysis. When present, ITB can create inappropriate estimates of the benefit or harm of an exposure or intervention. Studies examining treatments in critically ill patients may be particularly susceptible to ITB, with consequences for clinical adoption and design and initiation of randomized trials. In this Critical Care Perspective, we illustrate the persistent problem of ITB in observational research using recent studies of hydrocortisone, ascorbic acid, and thiamine therapy in patients with sepsis and septic shock. Of the eight studies examined, none contained enough design or reporting elements to rule out the presence of ITB. To mitigate the influence of ITB in future observational studies, we present a novel checklist to help readers assess the features of study design, analysis, and reporting that introduce ITB or obscure its presence. We recommend that commonly used tools designed to evaluate observational research studies should include an ITB assessment.

Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)1222-1229
Number of pages8
JournalAmerican Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine
Volume203
Issue number10
DOIs
StatePublished - May 15 2021
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • comparative effectiveness research
  • critical care medicine
  • statistical bias

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Pulmonary and Respiratory Medicine
  • Critical Care and Intensive Care Medicine

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